Virginia Viewpoint A Blue Wave Returns: Democrats Regain a Historic Trifecta in the Commonwealth

November 5, 2025

Just a few days after a contentious special session where the Democratic-led General Assembly took the first step in an effort to redraw Virginia’s congressional districts ahead of the 2026 midterms, Democrats swept all three statewide offices and significantly expanded their House majority — securing a Democratic trifecta in Virginia for the first time since 2019.

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A Statewide Clean Sweep

The top of the statewide ticket brought a series of historic firsts for Virginia. Former Congresswoman Abigail Spanberger defeated Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears to become Virginia’s first female governor. Ghazala Hashmi prevailed over John Reid in the lieutenant governor’s race, becoming the first Muslim woman to hold statewide office. In the closest of the three contests, Jay Jones unseated incumbent Attorney General Jason Miyares to complete the sweep. Combined, these victories restore Democratic control of all three statewide offices, ending four years of Republican control.

A Reshaped General Assembly

The Democratic surge extended beyond statewide contests. In the House of Delegates, Democrats gained 13 seats, climbing from 51 to 64. Key flips came in fast-growing suburban districts around Richmond, Northern Virginia, and Hampton Roads — areas where issues like affordability, infrastructure, and reproductive rights dominated the conversation. The increased majority in the House has immediate implications for the 2026 Regular Session of the General Assembly. Due to proportional representation rules, most House committees will likely replace three to five Republicans with Democrats in their place.

Meanwhile, barring a surprise in the upcoming special session to fill the vacated 15th Senate District seat of Lieutenant Governor-elect Ghazala Hashmi, the Senate will likely remain a 21-19 Democratic majority. It is also important to note that Hashmi’s victory gives Democrats the edge if a tie vote were to occur on the Senate floor.

Flipped House Seats — 2025 Election Results

As of 11:38 PM ET, November 4, 2025

Source: VPAP.org

District Region Democratic Winner Republican Incumbent Votes
(D – R)
Percent
(D – R)
HD 22 Prince William Elizabeth Guzman Ian Lovejoy* 19,709 – 16,368 54.55 – 45.30
HD 30 Loudoun / Fauquier John Chilton McAuliff Geary Higgins* 21,885 – 21,249 50.66 – 49.18
HD 41 Blacksburg / Roanoke Co. Lily Franklin Chris Obenshain* 15,912 – 15,146 51.17 – 48.71
HD 57 Western Henrico May Nivar David Owen* 23,645 – 19,088 55.26 – 44.61
HD 64 Stafford Stacey Annie Carroll Paul Milde* 18,833 – 16,806 52.77 – 47.09
HD 66 Spotsylvania / Caroline Nicole Cole Bobby Orrock* 18,503 – 16,939 52.15 – 47.74
HD 69 Peninsula Virginia Mark Downey Chad Green* 19,143 – 18,032 (+1,368 I) 49.61 – 46.73
HD 71 James City / Williamsburg Jessica Anderson Amanda Batten* 23,182 – 20,768 52.68 – 47.19
HD 73 Western Chesterfield Leslie Mehta Mark Earley Jr* 25,676 – 24,086 51.54 – 48.35
HD 75 Chesterfield / Hopewell Lindsey Dougherty Carrie Coyner* 14,980 – 13,376 52.70 – 47.06
HD 82 Petersburg / Dinwiddie Kimberly Pope Adams Kim Taylor* 18,279 – 15,749 53.64 – 46.22
HD 86 Hampton / York / Poquoson Virgil Gene Thornton Sr A.C. Cordoza* 16,758 – 14,556 53.39 – 46.38
HD 89 Chesapeake / Suffolk Karen Robins Carnegie Mike Lamonea 20,008 – 16,798 54.23 – 45.53

 

Democrats flipped a total of 13 seats and made significant gains among voters across the Commonwealth. The margins show the strongest Democratic performance across Northern Virginia, Central Virginia, and Hampton Roads — especially in suburban districts that leaned Republican as recently as 2021. The narrowest margin came in HD 30, decided by just 636 votes, while HD 57 delivered the largest Democratic advantage, exceeding 10 points.

How They Did It

Suburban turnout, and a largely unified Democratic message around reproductive rights, education, health care, and anti-White House sentiment fueled this year’s blue wave. Governor-elect Abigail Spanberger’s moderate branding during the campaign and the party’s focus on local economic stability helped consolidate gains in competitive districts.

Special Session Update & Looking Ahead

Virginia’s results could prove to be an early bellwether for the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic sweep may become a blueprint for similar messaging nationally. Meanwhile, Republicans face growing challenges in suburban districts that swung bluer this year.

To add to the strategic positioning, the General Assembly met last week for a special session to take the first step in dissolving a bipartisan redistricting commission in favor of redrawn congressional lines. If HJ 6007 clears another vote in the 2026 General Assembly — which now has a larger Democratic majority — and is subsequently approved by Virginia voters via referendum, then the legislature could redraw the state’s congressional maps ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.  The redistricting developments and the subsequent legal challenges will be key items to track heading into the next cycle.

Governor-elect Spanberger will be inaugurated as Virginia’s 75th Governor on Saturday, January 17. The 2026 Regular Session will begin just a few days prior on Wednesday, January 14.

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